Bulls Get A PCE Of The Action

Bulls Get A PCE Of The Action

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NEWS
Bulls Get A PCE Of The Action

Source: Tenor.com

After several weak sessions, U.S. stocks finally caught a bid, but sentiment remains bearish territory as investors fear tariffs and other weekend surprises. With many leading stocks down several days and a better-than-expected inflation print coming together, the market is setting the stage for a potential comeback next week. 👀 

Today’s issue covers January’s cooling inflation rate, Terawulf’s turnaround, a specialty insurance provider popping, and more from the day. 📰

Here’s the S&P 500 heatmap. 11 of 11 sectors closed green, with financials (+2.05%) leading and real estate (+0.70%) lagging.

Source: Finviz.com

And here are the closing prices: 

S&P 500

5,955

+1.59%

Nasdaq

18,847

+1.63%

Russell 2000

2,163

+1.09%

Dow Jones

43,841

+1.39%

ECONOMY
Fed’s Key Inflation Measure Cools 🌡️ 

The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation metric, the core PCE price index, fell to a seven-month low during January, helping ease concerns from other inflation metrics that prices could accelerate to the upside again.

Healthcare services costs drove the growth slowdown, falling 0.13% MoM and rising just 1.8% YoY. This metric has a 19% weighting in core PCE, so changes in it make big waves in the overall metric. 🔻 

Still, this does little to change the market’s overall rate cut hopes. Instead, investors view this as slightly reducing the risk of a sharp upside surprise in inflation.

However, consumer spending flipped sharply negative during January despite personal income rising much faster than expected (+0.9% vs. 0.3% estimated). Government benefits like Social Security, higher compensation, and higher dividend income drove the increase. 💸 

Consumer spending slipped 0.2% in January after rising 0.8% in December, driven by a 1.2% decline in goods spending. Colder-than-anticipated weather across the country and overall macro uncertainty weighing on consumer sentiment are the likely culprits. However, investors still watch these numbers closely due to their large weighting in the GDP calculation.

Despite today’s bounce in stock prices, Stocktwits sentiment remains in ‘bearish’ territory. Geopolitical concerns, particularly around the U.S.’s approach to the Russia vs. Ukraine war, remain at the top of investors’ minds. And with tariffs and other news bringing downside surprises lately, many are taking a cautious approach to risk. 🛡️ 

Source: Stocktwits.com

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COMPANY NEWS
Terawulf Tears Up The Shorts After Earnings 🪙 

The Bitcoin miner bucked the broader crypto market’s trend after announcing an expansion into AI-focused high-performance computing (HPC) hosting. Its expansion into this new business line overshadowed missing fourth-quarter earnings and revenue expectations. 🥳 

Full-year revenue doubled YoY to $140.1 million, even as fourth-quarter revenue missed expectations by nearly 10%. Self-mining capacity rose by 94% YoY to 9.7 exahashes per second (EH/s). ⛏️ 

The company also strengthened its balance sheet and has repurchased over $150 million shares from its $200 million share buyback program. However, like its peers Marathon Holdings and Riot Platforms, Terawulf is diversifying its business to help reduce exposure to Bitcoin’s price cycles and utilize its expertise in power-intensive infrastructure to service other industries.

Shares surged 16% today and found support in a region similar to the one it has in the past year. Stocktwits sentiment improved from ‘bearish’ to ‘bullish’ as investors applauded the business update and long-term potential. 🐂 

Source: Stocktwits

PRESENTED BY STOCKTWITS
“The Weekend Rip” With Ben & Emil 😆 

Hosts Ben and Emil talk Katy Perry going to space, Steve Cohen’s bear thesis, retail’s market sentiment sinking sharply, Dave Portnoy’s ironic questions, Fuzzy Panda’s short thesis on AppLovin, the current state of the meme coin market, and more from a crazy week in the financial markets. 😵‍💫 

STOCKS
Other Noteworthy Pops & Drops 📋️ 

Rocket Labs ($RKLB +4%): The end-to-end space company received several price target cuts from Wall Street following weak earnings and forward guidance.

Frontline ($FRO +5%): The oil tanker shipping company’s fourth-quarter results topped estimates, with revenue rising 7% YoY but higher costs hitting earnings.

NextDecade Corp. ($NEXT +13%): The company outlined its development plans for expansion capacity at the Rio Grande LNG Facility site beyond Trains 1 through 5.

DoubleVerify Holdings ($DV -36%): The digital media measurement, data, and analytics platform provider announced disappointing results for the fourth quarter of the fiscal year 2024 and issued mixed guidance.

Bitcoin ($BTC.X -1%): Stocktwits sentiment sank into bearish territory following its first break below its 200-day moving average since October.

CHART OF THE DAY
Specialty Proper Insurance Provider Pumps To New Highs 🤑 

If you like this chart and commentary, you’ll love our “Chart Art” newsletter. We’ll deliver you the best trade ideas and analysis from the Stocktwits community every evening by 8 pm ET.

And if you need another reason to join, you’ll receive a welcome email with a list of the top Stocktwits chartists to follow for real-time posts like this.

COMMUNITY VIBES
One Tweet To Sum Up The Week 🤣 

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