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NEWS
Stocks Slip Ahead Of Quadruple Witching

Source: Tenor

Bulls came charging out of the gate but hit a wall near yesterday’s highs, and bears retook control. Semiconductors and other tech stocks struggled, with a few pockets of green found in defensive areas like healthcare and utilities. Tomorrow’s quadruple witching options expiration is expected to bring more volatility, with investors hoping that Trump’s tariffs and other geopolitical risks will pop up. 👀 

Today’s issue covers a mixed bag of major earnings, why Amazon could hold the key for the broad market, and more from a wild day on Wall Street. 📰

Here’s the S&P 500 heatmap. 4 of 11 sectors closed green, with utilities (+0.41%) leading and technology (-0.71%) lagging.

Source: Finviz

And here are the closing prices: 

EARNINGS
FedEx, Nike, Micron, & More Earnings 📦️ 

Semiconductor giant Micron’s second-quarter earnings and revenue topped expectations, with revenue rising 38% YoY and data center revenue tripling. Its third-quarter earnings and revenue estimates also topped estimates. 🔺 

Nike’s earnings and revenue topped estimates, but it warned that sales would drop by a double-digit percentage in the current quarter. It cited new tariffs, sliding consumer confidence, and a slower-than-expected turnaround. 👟 

It also anticipates its gross margin will fall between 4% and 5% as it ramps up efforts to liquidate excess inventory. The guidance was worse than analysts anticipated and overshadowed a beat of this quarter’s very low expectations. Stocktwits sentiment is ‘extremely bearish’ as investors believe the turnaround will take longer than expected.

Stocktwits Nike Sentiment

Logistics giant FedEx reported earnings that missed analyst estimates, but revenue topped expectations. Coming into this quarter, sales had fallen YoY in eight of the past nine quarters, so growth of 2% this quarter was enough to break the streak.

Still, management signaled that full-year sales would be flat to down YoY, implying a fourth-quarter decline of about 5%. Business-to-business trends were below expectations, with severe weather, delayed China data sets, and escalating macro/policy uncertainty weighing on activity. 😵‍💫 

Stocktwits FedEx Sentiment

While Micron’s results helped buoy the tech sector’s mood, Quantum’s earnings (or lack thereof) sent that industry falling after hours as investors rethink the hype. 🫤 

The bigger story for now is that Nike and FedEx are still raising the alarm bells for investors. These are global, consumer-linked companies, and their guidance is still not great. DoubleLine’s Jeff Gundlack is among several investors warning that the market will be volatile and suggesting an over 50% chance of a recession.

Time will tell if a recession comes. But for now, the risk and uncertainty keep investors from getting aggressive amid the recent market dip. Our next story outlines why Amazon will be a material factor in determining the next market move.

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*3rd Party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Stocktwits. See disclosure here. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Email may contain forward-looking statements. See US Offering for details. Informational purposes only.

STOCKS
Watch Amazon For The Market’s Next Move 🧐 

Stock market investors are using last week’s lows as a point of reference and trading against them as many view risks remaining to the downside. 📍 

One of the stocks that is being watched closely is Amazon. The chart below shows the consumer discretionary giant revisiting the multi-year resistance level it broke out of late last year. With prices stabilizing here, momentum diverging positively, and the 200-day moving average still rising…this should be a layup situation for the bulls. 🐂 

Source: TradingView

The S&P 500 chart is also precarious, with prices struggling to get back above broken support and the 200-day moving average while momentum gets oversold. Buyers need to reassert themselves here and reclaim this level to help reaffirm that this recent low is meaningful. Otherwise, if bears take control and prices break their recent lows, a much steeper correction is likely on tap. 😬 

Source: TradingView

Amazon’s weighting in the indexes makes it a key bellwether. How it acts at current levels will likely set the tone for the rest of the market. Bulls need to step up now.

STOCKS
Other Noteworthy Pops & Drops 📋️ 

GEO Group ($GEO +3%): The government service provider announced a contract with U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to activate a federal immigration processing center where first-year revenue should exceed $70 million.

Xpev Inc. ($XPEV -7%): Wall Street expressed a mixed take on the stock despite an upbeat fourth-quarter earnings report and a positive outlook for the first quarter. Even those positive analysts noted concerns about a “stretched” valuation.

Rivian ($RIVN -4%): Piper Sandler downgraded it from ‘Overweight’ to ‘Neutral,’ reducing its price target from $19 to $13, struggling to find upside catalysts.

Lyft ($LYFT +1%): The ridesharing company announced it will begin rolling out autonomous vehicles as soon as this summer, signing agreements with partners like May Mobility, Mobileye, and Marubeni.

Willdan Group ($WLDN +1%): Secured a $17.7 million contract for the Paramount Unified School District’s engineering and construction oversight services

Optinose ($OPTN +52%): Privately held Paratek Pharmaceuticals announced that it would buy the company for up to $330 million. The $9 per share represents a 50% premium to yesterday’s closing price, and up to $5 more for contingent value rights.

Capricor Therapeutics ($CAPR +18%): Earnings and revenue topped estimates, with the company saying its available cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities will be sufficient to cover the expenses and capital requirements into 2027.

Accenture ($ACN -7%): The consulting firm’s shares fell the most in one year after investors focused on risks tied to federal spending cuts. Those fears outweighed strong second-quarter earnings and raised fiscal-year guidance.

Jabil ($JBL +6%): The electronics manufacturer reported stronger-than-expected second-quarter earnings and raised its full-year guidance. Management downplayed tariff concerns and cited strength in capital equipment, cloud and data center infrastructure, and digital commerce end markets.

Oklo ($OKLO -1%): Entered an agreement with Idaho National Laboratory (INL), a key milestone in its plan to deploy its first commercial nuclear powerhouse in Idaho.

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PRESENTED BY STOCKTWITS
The Rotation Report With Aaron Jackson 👀 

Rotation Report founder, Stocktwits user, and pro trader Aaron Jackson covers:

• Trump’s Economic Plan: Focus on upcoming tax incentives, not media noise.

• Commodities & Yields: Bullish signs in copper/energy; key levels in Treasury yields.

• Tech & Markets: Amazon looks safer; Nasdaq forming a base, but market remains choppy.

• China & Emerging Markets: Caution at key resistance levels.

• Stocks & NCAA Picks: Key setups on BYD, homebuilders, and a potential Purdue upset.

WHAT’S ON DECK
Tomorrow’s Top Things 📋

Economic data: Russia Interest Rate Decision (6:30 am), Fed Williams Speech (9:05 am), Quadruple Witching (3:00 pm). 📊

Pre-Market Earnings: Nio Auto ($NIO), Carnival Cruise Lines ($CCL), Sunlands Technology ($STG), Moleculin Biotech ($MBRX), Biofrontera ($BFRI). 🛏️

After-Hour Earnings: None — enjoy your weekend. 🎧

P.S. You can listen to all of these earnings calls and more straight from the Stocktwits app or website. You’ll find them on the calendar page and individual symbol pages once they’re set to begin! We’ll see you there. 👍

Links That Don’t Suck 🌐

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😬 Hong Kong’s richest man is in hot water over his company’s Panama Canal ports deal

📗 Controversial insider account by former Meta official has strong first-week sales

💰️ CoreWeave prices its IPO to raise at least $2.2 billion — and now the games begin

🏘️ February home resales jump much more than expected, despite higher mortgage rates

⚠️ ECB’s Lagarde: EU needs to be ready for tariff ‘blackmail’ in age of Trump

*3rd Party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Stocktwits. See disclosure here.

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