CLOSING BELL
Black Rain in Tehran, Wall St. Whiplash

The market traded with high volatility Monday. Prices opened red after oil futures hit nearly $120 overnight, after inflammatory comments and bombings. Over the weekend, Israel hit 30 oil depots across Iran, showering the nation in black rain and smoke.

But in the daylight hours, prices recovered a bit. Oil sold back to nearly $93/barrel, and the G7 said it would jump in an release reserves if need be. The market also bought that President Trump is possibly close to TACOing whatever his aims are in bombing Iran, as he told CNBC he still has a plan to protect gas prices from climbing.

A year ago, he took office after running almost entirely on a lower gas prices, no wars in the middle east, release the files and other truther talking points, as many remember. But Monday, oil prices jumped the most they have since March 2022, after a foreign power started bombing another country all of a sudden, in that case Russia attacking its neighbor Ukraine. Oil burns hottest during wartime.

It might be hard to go back on this move, though, as the Iranian theocracy named a new supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, son of the last leader. The move creates a dynasty, and signals the country is still hard-line against any calls for cease fire: the war is not over yet.

After the bell, Trump spoke at a GOP event, reiterating his earlier calls that the war was “pretty much” complete. 🌮 

Before that, the massive price jump matches the immense shocks that hit the markets in the 1970s, during the OPEC+ U.S. and Israeli oil embargo and Iranian revolution. Bloomberg reported the lack of will to insure ships in the Gulf has led to the first ever de facto shutdown of shipping traffic there in modern times.

AFTER THE BELL
HPE Rides the AI Server Wave 💻️ 

Enterprise tech giant $HPE ( ▲ 3.22% ) climbed 3.2% in after-hours trading as the company issued a bullish revenue forecast, betting that the $630B infrastructure spend from Big Tech will sustain double-digit order growth for its Nvidia-powered systems.

$0.65 adjusted EPS vs. $0.59 estimate. $9.30B revenue vs. $9.33B consensus, up 18% year-over-year. $9.6B to $10B Q2 revenue guidance vs. $9.58B analyst average.

The upbeat outlook comes as Hewlett Packard Enterprise co. faces surging memory costs and supply chain friction to capture aggressive data center expansion.

While the slight Q1 revenue miss reflects persistent trade and cost pressures, management’s decision to raise full-year EPS guidance to a high of $2.50 signals confidence in its high-margin AI backlog. As competitors like $DELL and $SMCI vie for the same silicon, $HPE’s ability to convert record demand into bottom-line growth remains the primary narrative for 2026. 🖥️

STOCKS
Novo-Hims Peace Treaty Sparks Rally 🕊️ 

The telehealth leader saw $HIMS ( ▲ 40.79% ) explode higher following a Bloomberg report that Novo Nordisk plans to sell its blockbuster GLP-1 drugs directly through the platform, ending a bitter legal feud.

$30.00 price target upgrade from Needham. 41% surge to $22.17 on record volume.

The deal transforms a legal adversary into a partner, granting HIMS access to branded Wegovy while retiring its legally risky compounded marketing. While shifting to branded reselling at an estimated $149 monthly price point may squeeze margins, the removal of the existential regulatory “terminal risk” triggered a massive short-covering rally. This partnership validates the company’s platform as a critical distribution channel for Big Pharma, providing a clear path to sustainable 2026 growth. 💊

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MACRO NEWS
Yardeni Warns of War Meltdown 😱 

Twitter tweet

Market strategist Ed Yardeni hiked the probability of a systemic market crash to 35% as escalating conflict with Iran sent crude oil prices surging 9.9%.

He changed his bear case to a 35% probability of market meltdown vs. 20% previously. 5% probability of a “meltup” rally vs. 20% previously. 4.18% yield on 10-year Treasuries as inflation expectations rise.

The dual threat of an oil shock and rising unemployment has trapped the Fed between “Iran and a hard place,” forcing traders to push rate-cut expectations back to September.

While Yardeni maintains a long-term “Roaring 2020s” outlook, the immediate combination of a hardline transition in Tehran and a potential 1970s-style stagflation loop has triggered a massive flight to the dollar. Markets remain on edge as G7 ministers weigh a strategic petroleum reserve release to counter $100 oil, which President Trump labeled a “small price to pay” for the military campaign.

That was before Monday’s positive oil stability news.

G-7 Weighs Emergency Oil Release: Energy markets celebrated even the mention of a coordinated intervention from the largest industrial democracies. Crude futures dropped following reports that G-7 finance ministers are discussing a massive release of strategic reserves to combat $120 Brent crude.

300M to 400M barrels proposed for joint release. $107 per barrel for Brent crude after paring early session highs. 25% to 30% of total global strategic reserves could be deployed.

While the move provided an immediate psychological cooling effect on prices, skeptics point to the Trump administration’s shifting stance on Russian oil sanctions as a sign of deeper structural desperation. 🛢️

TRENDING STOCKS
Pops & Drops

• $SNDK ( ▲ 11.64% )  SanDisk: surged after AI memory demand crushed supply forecasts

• $TMC ( ▲ 9.42% )  TMC: ripped after deep sea mining permit progress

• $TER ( ▲ 8.57% )  Teradyne: climbed after AI chip testing revenue hit 60%

• $FIX ( ▲ 7.3% )  Comfort Systems: jumped after data center buildout lifted backlogs

• $WDC ( ▲ 6.85% )  Western Digital: popped after flash storage margins recovered faster

• $CSCO ( ▼ 3.09% )  Cisco: slid after memory inflation crushed gross margin guidance

• $USO ( ▼ 4.08% )  US Oil: fell after momentum returned faster than expected

• $PSKY ( ▼ 6.67% )  Psky: tanked after Fitch downgraded debt to junk post-WBD win

• $UVIX ( ▼ 19.4% )  Volatility Shares: cratered -19% after VIX faded on easing macro fears

ST MEDIA
Top Stocktwits Stories 🗞️ 

Don’t miss a story! Follow @StocktwitsNews for a live feed in real time. ✍️ 

WHAT’S ON DECK
Tomorrow’s Top Things 📋

Macro: Existing Home Sales (9:00 AM ET), FOMC Press Release (9:00 AM ET). 📊
Pre-Market Earnings: $NIO, $NUWE, $BNTX, $UEC, $ZIM, $EH, $ESPR, $IPWR, +1 more. ☀️
After-Market Earnings: $LOGC, $ORCL, $GRPN, $NSPR, $INDP, $ASRT, $BODI, $ERNA, +15 more. 🌙P.S. You can listen to all of these earnings calls on Stocktwits.

Links That Don’t Suck 🌐

🤑  G7 energy ministers to meet Tuesday morning to discuss release of oil reserves, sources say

😨 JPMorgan says the S&P 500 could tumble 10% into a correction if the Iran war rages on

The U.S. names its 7th dead soldier, Iran names a new supreme leader on Day 10 of war

💰️ Saudi Arabia Begins Slashing Oil Production – TPET, BATL, INDO Stocks Continue To Draw Retail Buzz

New footage raises likelihood the US struck an Iranian school where a blast killed at least 165

👀 Iran names Ayatollah Khamenei’s son, Mojtaba, as new supreme leader: Media reports

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