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NEWS
Lots Of Effort For Little Movement

Source: Tenor.com

Bulls battled bears to claw back gains following a weak start to the trading day. The earnings picture remains mixed, with many stocks popping and dropping by double digits. Meanwhile, investors are eying tomorrow’s nonfarm payrolls data to see just how much the labor market’s cooling will impact the Fed’s rate path. 👀 

Today’s issue covers Amazon’s post-guide slide, the top after-hours earnings movers, and other noteworthy pops and drops. 📰

Here’s the S&P 500 heatmap. 8 of 11 sectors closed green, with financials (+0.79%) leading and energy (-1.88%) lagging.

Source: Finviz.com

And here are the closing prices: 

EARNINGS
Amazon Slides On Revenue Guide 🙃 

The tech giant’s earnings and revenue topped expectations. Its closely-watched Amazon Web Services revenues of $28.8 billion met estimates, while its advertising segment’s $17.3 billion figure missed analysts by $0.1 billion.

The real issue was its revenue guidance of $151 to $155.5 billion, which fell short of the consensus estimate of $158.5 billion. 🔻 

Management noted this forecast anticipates an unusually large (1.5%), unfavorable impact from foreign exchange rates. However, analysts are focused on the implied 5% to 9% revenue growth of that first-quarter guidance, with the low end of that range marking the slowest growth rate in its history as a public company.

With revenue growth slowing, Amazon continues to focus on trimming expenses and growth in its higher-margin business units. Operating margins rose to 11.3% from 11% last quarter and 7.8% in the same quarter of 2023. 🔺 

Still, Amazon is investing heavily in artificial intelligence (AI) and other growth areas to reaccelerate revenues, guiding to $104 billion in CapEx during 2025. For context, Alphabet guided for $75 billion, showing that the biggest tech companies will invest hundreds of billions annually in this space.

Amazon shares are down roughly 4% after the bell, but Stocktwits sentiment remains in ‘extremely bullish’ territory. Additionally, a fresh poll on the site indicates that 61% of respondents view this earnings reaction as “overblown.” Time will tell if the bulls’ optimism pays off! 👍️ 

Source: Stocktwits.com

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EARNINGS
After-Hours Earnings Movers 👀 

Take-Two Interactive Software ($TTWO +6%): The videogame maker posted a narrower-than-expected third-quarter loss, sticking to its GTA 6 timeline of fall 2025.

Affirm Holdings ($AFRM +12%): The buy now, pay later firm’s second-quarter revenue topped estimates, with gross merchandise volume (GMV) growth jumping 35% YoY. Revenue rising faster at 47% signals strong unit economics.

Fortinet ($FTNT +7%): The cybersecurity firm’s fourth-quarter earnings, revenue, and 2025 sales guidance all topped estimates, driven by a new growth market: Secure Access Service Edge (SASE).

Pinterest ($PINS +19%): The social media site’s fourth-quarter revenue rose 18% YoY, topping estimates. Global monthly active users grew 11% YoY, with global average revenue per user (ARPU) rising to $2.12 (above expectations of $2.09).

Expedia ($EXPE +10%): The travel website posted better-than-expected gross bookings, reflecting resilient travel demand during the winter holiday season.

Philip Morris ($PM +10%): The tobacco products company’s strong earnings guidance overshadowed a mixed fourth-quarter report. Zyn’s growth continues.

Bill Holdings ($BILL -31%): Second-quarter revenues and earnings topped estimates, but its third-quarter guidance implied far weaker growth than anticipated.

E.l.f. Beauty ($ELF -23%): The cosmetics giant cut its full-year guidance following a 36% decline in profits and “softer than expected” sales trends in January.

STOCKS
Other Noteworthy Pops & Drops 📋️ 

Symbotic ($SYM -16%): The automation tech company’s first-quarter results fell short of estimates despite revenue rising 35% YoY and expanding margins.

Skyworks Solutions ($SWKS -25%): Fell to a five-year low despite first-quarter earnings beating expectations. It warned that increased competition for Apple’s semiconductor business would hurt future sales.

Arm Holdings ($ARM -4%): The current quarter aligned with expectations, denting hopes that AI demand will spur outsized sales. One factor that could impact investor sentiment is Arm’s license lawsuit against Qualcomm Inc. (QCOM), a major partner.

Lightspeed Commerce ($LSPD -13%): The Montreal-based e-commerce platform announced the results of its previously announced strategic review and third-quarter 2025 results. It will focus on its go-to-market strategy and free up cash for buybacks.

Roblox ($RBLX -11%): The gaming company’s loss per share narrowed and revenues rose 32% YoY, but bookings growth of 21% narrowly missed consensus estimates.

Eli Lilly ($LLY +3%): The pharmaceutical giant posted stronger-than-expected earnings and revenue despite another sales miss for its obesity and diabetes drugs.

Bristol-Myers Squibb ($BMY -4%): Earnings and revenue beat estimates, but its 2025 outlook for both metrics failed to meet consensus expectations.

Ford ($F -7%): Earnings and revenue topped estimates, but a cautious 2025 outlook sent shares falling to their lowest since January 2021.

Uber ($UBER +8%): Rose despite receiving several price target cuts after earnings.

Honeywell ($HON -6%): Announced it will split into three separate publicly traded entities by the second half of 2026, in a tax-free transaction for existing shareholders.

Gates Industrial ($GTES +14%): The manufacturer of power transmission belts and fluid power products reported upbeat results as lower volumes weigh on sales.

ArcelorMittal ($MT +11%): The steelmaker’s fourth-quarter earnings beat and revenue fell short, but posted an upbeat outlook for global steel demand.

XPO Logistics ($XPO +8%): The transportation giant’s earnings topped estimates, while revenue fell 1% YoY. Less-than-truckload segment weakness drove the decline.

Nano Nuclear ($NNE -5%): Engaged aRobotics Company to oversee the multimillion-dollar buildout of the firm’s recently announced demonstration facility.

Viasat Inc. ($VSAT +8%): Its subsidiary, Inmarsat Maritime, signed an agreement with Maersk to enhance its fleet’s maritime connectivity.

Equifax ($EFX -9%): The financial data analytics firm declared a quarterly dividend of $0.39 per share, but it was not enough to offset weak 2025 guidance.

Intercontinental Exchange ($ICE +4%): Fourth-quarter earnings topped estimates, while revenue met. Energy trading volumes rose 15% vs. listing revenue rose 1%.

WHAT’S ON DECK
Tomorrow’s Top Things 📋

Economic data: Nonfarm Payrolls & Average Earnings (8:30 am ET), Unemployment & Labor Force Participation Rate (8:30 am ET), Fed Bowman Speech (9:25 am ET), Michigan Consumer Sentiment (10:00 am ET), Fed Kugler Speech (12:00 pm ET). 📊

Pre-Market Earnings: Canopy Growth ($CGC), Newell Brands ($NWL), Cboe Global Markets ($CBOE), Iterum Therapeutics ($ITRM), Plains All American ($PAA). 🛏️

After-Hour Earnings: None — enjoy your weekend! 🎧

P.S. You can listen to all of these earnings calls and more straight from the Stocktwits app or website. You’ll find them on the calendar page and individual symbol pages once they’re set to begin! We’ll see you there. 👍

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✂️ Bank of England halves UK growth projection and cuts main interest rate to 4.50%

📊 Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent wants to bypass the Fed to lower interest rates

💾 OpenAI considering 16 states for data center campuses as part of Trump’s Stargate project

😬 Gucci announces departure of Sabato De Sarno just weeks before next Milan runway show

🤑 Bank stocks pop after Fed releases ‘easier’ 2025 stress test, plans to make exam more predictable

*3rd Party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Stocktwits. See disclosure here.

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