NEWS
Nvidia Faces A Reversal Of Fortune

Source: Tenor.com

The major U.S. indexes closed red today as stronger-than-expected economic data crushed hopes for a first-quarter rate cut. Treasury yields surged, with the 10-year hitting its highest level since 2007, weighing on stocks as investors grappled with higher-for-longer rate expectations. 👀

Today’s issue covers Nvidia’s 9% reversal, JOLTs data dampening rate cut odds, JPMorgan’s back-to-office mandate, and other noteworthy pops and drops. 📰

Here’s the S&P 500 heatmap. 2 of 11 sectors closed green, with energy (+1.00%) leading and technology (-2.01%) lagging.

Source: Finviz.com

And here are the closing prices: 

Most bullish/bearish symbols on Stocktwits at the close: 📈 $SANA, $CALM, $AZZ, $UNF, $MAIA 📉 $RMCO, $DG, $MBLY, $MDIA, $POWW*

*If you’re a business and want to access this data via our API, email us.

COMPANY NEWS
How About That Candle? 🫠 

Directly after the Consumer Electronics Show (CES) 2025 keynote from Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, over 70% of Stocktwits investors polled said the developments made them “more bullish” on the stock. However, today’s price action threw a wrench in the stock’s short-term trajectory, so it’s worth revisiting. 😐️ 

Stat master Jason Goepfert shared a crazy stat: Nvidia hit a 52-week high on the same day it closed lower than 50 days ago. This was the most material decline in the stock’s history, raising eyebrows among both bulls and bears. With that said, the latest date that came close was November 10, 2005, when the stock bottomed and then doubled over the next six months. So it’s interesting, but unlikely, a death knell.

Below, the stock’s nearly 9% intraday reversal prints quite the candle. In technical analysis, this is called a “bearish engulfing” candle, but it relies on follow-through the next day to validate a reversal and signal more downside. ⚠️ 

Source: TradingView.com

For now, prices are simply revisiting their June highs and settling into the middle of a multi-month range. What does the Stocktwits community think? Retail sentiment is still ‘extremely bullish,’ with nearly 75% of the 1.4k people polled seeing further upside for Nvidia as a leader in the artificial intelligence (AI) space. 🤖 

Source: Stocktwits.com

We’ll see how the stock acts in the coming days and weeks. For now, head over to the Nvidia symbol page to cast your vote and discuss how the latest price action in the stock changes your view of Nvidia and the overall semiconductor space. 🗳️ 

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ECONOMY
JOLTs Data Dampens Rate Cut Hopes 😓 

Besides the pressure from Nvidia hurting the stock market’s chance of a green day, better-than-expected economic data caused sellers to reemerge. 😬 

The November JOLTs data showed that job openings rose to 8.1 million, well above economists’ expectations for 7.7 million. Separations remain relatively unchanged while demand for labor is picking up. On top of that, the December ISM reading topped expectations, showcasing the resilience of the U.S. economy.

Unfortunately for investors hoping for a Fed rate cut in the first quarter, the odds of that occurring are dwindling with each piece of upside economic surprise. The CME Fedwatch Tool now suggests there’s only a 50%-ish chance of a rate cut occurring in May, with the highest probability in June. 🔮 

Source: CME Fedwatch Tool

Higher rates for longer mean some pressure on the equity markets and other risk assets, with investors now turning their focus to earnings season. If earnings growth remains positive, that could offset some of the negative impact that higher rates. But for now, sellers are pouncing on the chance to get a few more shots in.

And since we’re talking about jobs, we should note JPMorgan’s latest move. 👀 

The largest U.S. bank, which employs more than 300,000 people globally, is expected to replace its existing three-day mandate for many workers with a full return-to-office (RTO) policy. 🏢 

The decision would expand existing rules from April 2023 that required the bank’s managing directors to be present five days per week. This rule already impacts roughly 60% of the bank’s staff, but it’s the latest sign that CEO Jamie Dimon is following through on his belief that staff work better together in person.

And so far, shareholders are taking the announcement in stride. After all, the stock has had a stellar year, rising 41%, and currently sits near all-time highs. So if Jamie Dimon believes that in-person work will help continue to drive value, then the Stocktwits community isn’t going to argue with him. 🤷 

Source; Stocktwits.com

PRESENTED BY STOCKTWITS
The First “Trends With Friends” Of 2025 🤑 

Howard, Phil, JC, and Michael are joined by special guest Packy McCormick of “Not Boring” to discuss the overlap of technology and meme culture. From Fart Coin to Nvidia’s groundbreaking AI advancements, this episode sits at the intersection of innovation, humor, and strategy to explore the opportunities and chaos shaping 2025.

STOCKS
Other Noteworthy Pops & Drops 📋️ 

Instil Bio (+16%): Jefferies upgraded the shares to ‘Buy’ from ‘Hold,’ with a new price target of $52—more than double their current level.

XTI Aerospace (-18%): The VTOL aircraft company’s 1-for-250 stock consolidation, effective Jan. 10, will allow it to raise capital and pursue strategic acquisitions.

Southwest Airlines (-3%): The airline announced the sale and leaseback of 36 Boeing 737-800 aircraft, which will be owned and leased to the firm by Incline Aviation III, the third in BBAM’s flagship aviation investment fund series.

Hoth Therapeutics (+173%): Trading volume skyrocketed, driven by positive interim data from its Phase 2a trial of HT-001, a therapy targeting skin toxicities caused by epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) inhibitors in cancer patients.

Moderna (+12%): On Monday, the United States reported its first human death from H5N1 bird flu in Louisiana. While most of the other 65 known U.S. cases have been mild, a severe case in Canada has further heightened alarm. This put Moderna, Novavax, and other vaccine makers back on traders’ radars.

Annovis Bio (-7%): The FDA approved the final protocol for its pivotal Phase 3 Alzheimer’s disease (AD) study, garnering significant retail investor attention.

AppLovin (-7%): BofA Securities analyst Omar Dessouky said the firm’s 3P estimates suggest a 4% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) decline in the Palo Alto-based company’s fourth-quarter app revenues. This compares to the 2% growth the Street currently models.

Getty Images (+20%): It entered into a definitive merger agreement to combine with rival Shutterstock in a union of equals. Shutterstock also rose 16% on the news.

Meta (-2%): The social media giant appointed Trump ally Dana White as a director and ended its 3rd party fact-checking as it looks to embrace the era of “free speech.”

Robinhood (-6%): JPMorgan upgraded the shares to ‘Neutral’ from ‘Underweight’ while raising the price target to $43 from $20, saying alternative asset managers “continue to see compelling secular tailwinds.”

Aurora Innovation (+29%): The company announced a long-term partnership with Nvidia and Continental to deploy driverless trucks at scale.

Suncor Energy (+5%): The Canadian integrated energy firm announced record quarterly and full-year operational results.

Links That Don’t Suck 🌐

🩻 New rules will ban medical debt from your credit report

😋 McDonald’s biggest menu shakeup in years rolls out Tuesday

🕵️ Feds investigate Tesla’s ‘Actual Smart Summon’ after several crashes

🍪 Girl Scout Cookie season is here: See the 2025 flavor lineup and how to buy

✍️ The Washington Post lays off roughly 100 staffers as star journalists exit

🏢 US sues Cushman & Wakefield, other landlords over alleged rental price coordination

🚢 US dockworkers threaten to strike against automation, creating economic uncertainty

🎯 Tencent shares fall 8% in Hong Kong after U.S. designates it a Chinese military company

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