Momentum Monday – I Blockade You!!
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Good morning…
We have ourselves a blockade!
I do not have a blockade playbook, but oil is up and JD Vance is 0 for 2 the last week. He probably had no chance working an Iran deal and in Hungary his boy was a loser.
Ivanhoff and I toured the markets as always and there continues to be incredible momentum and resilience in semiconductors, space, select biotech and small cap technology stocks.
I think the most incredible development has been the ability of the market to absorb almost a complete trillion dollar plus wipeout of software stocks.
We share a few fresh ideas as well…
Welcome back to Momentum Monday!
In today’s episode of Momentum Monday, Ivanhoff and I discuss the following:
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Market Resilience and AI Infrastructure
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Semiconductor Evolution and Memory Boom
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Software Sector Divergence
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Shifting Fintech and Brokerage Leaders
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Biotech and Satellite Growth
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Redefining the Technology Watch List
In This Episode, We Cover:
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Market Resilience and AI Infrastructure (0:00)
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Semiconductor Evolution and Memory Boom (1:42)
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Software Sector Divergence (6:23)
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Shifting Fintech and Brokerage Leaders (9:54)
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Biotech and Satellite Growth (12:53)
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Redefining the Technology Watch List (14:25)
Here are Ivanhoff’s thoughts:
Year-to-date, crude oil is up 70%, the small-cap index Russell 2k is up 6%, and the S&P 500 is flat. The semiconductors ETF, SMH, is up 23% and sitting at new all-time highs, while the software ETF, IGV, is down almost 30% and at multi-year lows. A true market of stocks environment.
There’s a two-week ceasefire in the Middle East. The moment it became clear, most AI-infrastructure stocks had a quick V-shaped recovery. Some of them were rising even ahead of the peace talk negotiations announcement. Now, we are at a point when many are extended for fresh swing entries – MRVL, GLW, NBIS, TER, AVGO, AMD, AEHR, AAOI, HUT, AXTI, TTMI, INTC, BE, LRCX, SNDK, etc. This velocity of the rally means two things: one, it caught many unprepared and underinvested; and two, the next pullback will very likely be bought aggressively.
In the meantime, crude oil remains a wild card. There’s a reason I called the real Vix of 2026. If peace negotiations fall apart and crude oil resumes its ascent, everything that rallied in the past week and a half will come right back.
And here are the charts discussed:
