Nebius Sends AI Bulls Into Orbit, Cerebras Falls After Beat
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The market climbed Wednesday as semiconductor leadership and tame inflation outweighed another day of U.S.-Iran risk. The S&P 500 stopped right below yet another closing record.
AI infrastructure became the session’s center of gravity. Nebius, CoreWeave, and Coherent surged as earnings and contract growth kept the capacity boom alive, but heavy spending remains the monster hiding inside every bullish forecast. After the close, Cerebras and Cisco slipped despite strong results, proving expectations can outrun even a raised outlook.
Stocktwits traders chased Coherent and Nebius while the blue-chip semi leaders barely registered in the retail pulse. The community wanted the faster horses, even if the saddle already cost a fortune.
Today’s Briefing: Powered by Stocktwits Community API.
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After the Bell: Cerebras and Cisco slipped as strong results collided with demanding valuations.
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Stocks: Wendy’s buyout chatter met an AI infrastructure surge in Nebius and CoreWeave.
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Macro News: Cooler inflation gave the Fed more room to wait.
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What’s Trending Now on Stocktwits
AFTER THE BELL
Cerebras Gets Repriced 🔥
Cerebras, the AI chipmaker trying to challenge Nvidia with wafer-scale processors and cloud inference capacity, sold off after Wednesday’s close despite a strong Q2 print and a raised outlook. The issue was not whether demand exists, but whether the stock had already sprinted too far into earnings.
The RIP: $CBRS fell more than 10% after hours. Core revenue was about $210M vs. $191M expected, adjusted loss was $0.05 per share vs. $0.17 expected, Q3 core revenue guidance was $215M, and full-year guidance rose to $885M.
For AI traders, this is the “great company, violent stock” problem in its purest lab form. The bull case got real numbers: core revenue more than doubled, AI infrastructure backlog held around $25B, and customers include OpenAI, AWS, and AMD. The bear case is valuation gravity, because when a newly public AI name has already been treated like every future token belongs to it, even a beat can turn into a sell-the-news event. Stocktwits had Cerebras trending with bearish sentiment and low activity, which is basically the room staring at a hot AI IPO and asking whether the nacho cheese already got priced in.
The Community Read: The $CBRS room is bearish after the AI beat, see where traders draw the line ->
Cisco Beats, Slips 📉
Cisco, the networking and security hardware giant powering enterprise and AI infrastructure, reported stronger-than-expected fiscal Q4 results after Wednesday’s close. The stock still fell after hours as traders weighed big AI order growth and above-consensus guidance against a lower gross margin and a huge year-to-date run.
The RIP: $CSCO fell 5.4% after hours to $117.17 after rising 2.9% in the regular session. Adjusted EPS was $1.22 vs. $1.17 expected, revenue was $17.25B vs. $16.82B expected, and Q4 AI infrastructure orders reached $4B.
The bull case is not subtle: Cisco said fiscal 2026 AI infrastructure orders hit $9.3B, product orders rose 35%, and fiscal 2027 revenue guidance of $72.2B to $73.4B topped expectations for $69.1B. The selloff looks like a bar-reset problem, with Barron’s flagging gross margin falling to 66.3% from 68.4% after a 56.3% year-to-date move. Stocktwits stayed 87% bullish anyway, with @Philly12684 arguing the guide is what matters and @OFIF calling for $130, because apparently the community saw a red candle and decided it was just Cisco wearing a discount sticker.
The Community Read: The $CSCO room is bullishly side-eyeing the after-hours dump.
“$CSCO upped guidance. That’s all that matters these days. The market is forward moving AF. Q1 looks solid. Buy the dip.”
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STOCKS
Peltz Wants the Baconator Meal, Not Just the Sandwich 🍔
Wendy’s, the burger chain still trying to fix weak traffic and franchisee pressure, soared Wednesday after reports said Nelson Peltz’s Trian Fund Management is forming a consortium to take the company private. Reuters said Peltz owns 16.24% of Wendy’s and Trian owns 7.85%, giving the activist camp a stake north of 24% while Wendy’s said it would review any proposal.
The RIP: $WEN ( ▲ 14.7% ) rose 14.7% to $8.66 on 44.5M shares, 3.9x recent pace. Shares traded from $7.50 to $8.80, gained 8.4% across five sessions, and had a 54.7K-share borrow pool with a 7.74% reference fee. The news follows the June 24th era short squeeze noise that sent the stock into the green for the year, despite falling restaurant numbers.
This is why traders care: the buyout math landed on a stock with 43.30% of its float sold short, turning every “possible bid” headline into a premium debate and every green candle into a community courtroom. Bulls are arguing that $9 would be cheap, shorts may be forced to defend into dividend timing, and the real next move is whether Trian files an actual offer with financing instead of just letting the rumor mill smell fries. The bear case is still sitting there with a half-eaten Frosty: U.S. same-restaurant sales fell 7%, traffic dropped 12.5%, and a takeover premium has to be rich enough to beat a turnaround that has not shown up in the restaurants yet.
The Community Read: The $WEN room is extremely bullish and arguing bid price, shorts, and board math.
“$WEN I’d feel bad for those that are thinking this is just another pop and fade, boy who cried wolf situation, and are selling into the news, but they are giving the shorts an easy and cheap exit, as well as potentially diminishing our offer price.”
Nebius Feeds The AI Furnace 🔥
Nebius Group, the Amsterdam AI-cloud infrastructure provider formerly tied to Yandex, ripped Wednesday after Q2 revenue beat estimates and confirmed that demand for rented GPU capacity is still outrunning the industry’s ability to build it.
The RIP: $NBIS ( ▲ 34.14% ) surged +34.1% to $259.20 on 3.0x recent volume. Adjusted loss was $0.12 vs. $0.62 expected, revenue rose +454% to $582.3M vs. $572.75M expected, and AI cloud revenue hit $575M.
The number bulls wanted was contracts, and Nebius gave them four AI-cloud deals averaging more than $1B each while lifting its contracted-power target to 5 GW. The catch is the bill: Q2 capex ran to $5.66B, or nearly 10 times quarterly revenue, so holders now need prepayments, utilization, and pricing per megawatt to keep proving this is a capacity land grab, not just the world’s most expensive Nvidia shopping spree. On Stocktwits, @santacruztodd had already mapped the chart fight at $228 to $236, then $276, which is exactly the kind of retail victory-lap math that gets loud when a short-heavy AI name gaps through resistance.
The Community Read: The $NBIS room is bullish after earnings, track the contract math ->
CoreWeave Feeds AI Rally ☁️
CoreWeave, the AI cloud company renting GPU infrastructure to enterprises, ripped Wednesday after Q2 results showed demand is still outrunning the buildout bill. Updating on my beginner’s TA from yesterday, looks like the reaction is right within the breakout section, and for the rest of the week bears and bulls will be attacking the price to see if the trend stays, or breakout is cemented in.
The RIP: $CRWV ( ▲ 19.28% ) rose 19.3% to $107.73 on 87.0M shares, 3.5x recent pace. Revenue was $2.58B, adjusted EPS was -$1.14, adjusted EBITDA was $1.51B, and backlog hit $104B.
Traders cared because CoreWeave made the AI infrastructure trade feel alive again: huge backlog, 59% adjusted EBITDA margin, and fresh analyst target hikes. The risk is still the same expensive monster, with $35B to $39B in 2026 capex and a $626M net loss.
MACRO NEWS
Inflation Buys Time 🧊
July inflation came in tame enough to cool the market’s rate-hike anxiety, especially after Friday’s weak jobs report. The reading gives the Fed more room to wait after three officials dissented on July 29 in favor of raising rates.
The RIP: Core CPI rose 0.2% month over month in July and 2.5% year over year, matching the slowest annual pace since March 2021.
“The big surprise with a report that had no surprises is that a situation where inflation isn’t reaccelerating, coupled with the most recent, weak jobs report gives the Fed more time to wait,” Chris Zaccarelli at Northlight Asset Management said.
Traders care because this market was bracing for hikes, not cuts, so “not worse” suddenly counts as a macro win. A softer inflation print plus weaker labor data gives the Fed cover to defend its wait-and-see forecast instead of rushing into another increase. The next test is whether future jobs and inflation data keep landing in that narrow sweet spot where growth cools without cracking and prices stop giving policymakers heartburn.
POPS & DROPS
Trending Now
$COHR +5% | Coherent: The raise made 2027 the real argument
10K WATCHERS · 84% BULLISH · EXTREMELY HIGH ACTIVITY
Coherent topped expectations with $2.05B in revenue and $1.74 in adjusted EPS, then guided Q1 revenue to $2.2B–$2.4B as AI datacenter demand accelerated. The extremely bullish room is now weighing that growth against the enormous capacity spending required to keep the optics boom from becoming an expensive bottleneck.
$INFQ +2% | Infleqtion: The record quarter raised a bigger question
15.8K WATCHERS · 60% BULLISH · NORMAL ACTIVITY
Infleqtion reported record Q2 revenue of $12.6M, up 116%, and lifted its 2026 outlook to roughly $43M as quantum commercialization gained traction. The room’s unresolved argument is whether government contracts and commercial sensing products justify closing the valuation gap with larger quantum peers before revenue reaches escape velocity.
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WHAT’S ON DECK
Tomorrow’s Top Things 📋
Pre-Market Earnings: $LUNR Intuitive Machines Inc – Ordinary Shares – Class A, $LAC Lithium Americas Corp (NewCo), $PSFE Paysafe Limited, $XXII 22nd Century Group Inc, $ONDS Ondas Inc., +49 more. ☀️
After-Market Earnings: $WKHS Workhorse Group Inc, $JAGX Jaguar Health Inc, $AMAT Applied Materials Inc., $CODX Co-Diagnostics Inc, $CNVS Cineverse Corp – Ordinary Shares – Class A, +69 more. 🌙
P.S. You can listen to all of these earnings calls on Stocktwits.
Get In Touch 📬
Want to see some change? Email me, Kevin Travers with feedback, and follow me on Stocktwits. Refer a friend for this quarter’s edition of The RIP Forecast 😎
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