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The Fed's Trichet Moment?
The Fed's Trichet Moment?
Craig Shapiro The Alethea Narrative
Yesterday may have been the Fed’s Trichet Moment. Signaling a higher for longer outlook as the economy has begun to roll over means we are assured of a harder landing. Enter the narrative “The Fed is Behind The Curve.” Bad setup for...
1 month ago
4 MIN READ
Time For The Hawks To Come Out And Play
Time For The Hawks To Come Out And Play
Craig Shapiro The Alethea Narrative
The only real tool the Federal Reserve has at this point to tighten financial conditions in a meaningful enough way to assist their plan to bring inflation back down to target in a timely manner is to use their DOT plot from the SEP in an aggressive...
1 month ago
3 MIN READ
Chart of the Day – Oil to Gold Ratio Breaking Down
Chart of the Day – Oil to Gold Ratio Breaking Down
Craig Shapiro The Alethea Narrative
View the 1 images of this gallery on the original article Source: Bloomberg Chart of the Day – Grams of Gold in 1 barrel of Oil. We have now pushed lower through the 1g of gold for 1bbl of oil level, which is pretty rare by historical standards....
1 month ago
2 MIN READ
LaDuc Trading Macro to Micro Webinar – 5/30/24
LaDuc Trading Macro to Micro Webinar – 5/30/24
Craig Shapiro The Alethea Narrative
In this episode of Macro-To-Micro Power Hour from 05/30/24, Samantha LaDuc and Craig Shapiro address the complexities of the current economic climate, including observations of stagflation and significant treasury supply. They provide insights on...
1 month ago
2 MIN READ
Where Have All the UST Buyers Gone?
Where Have All the UST Buyers Gone?
Craig Shapiro The Alethea Narrative
With US debt to GDP above 120%, deficits running 7% of GDP, US NIIP at -70%, the US government sanctioning “enemies” out of their desire to buy and add to their UST holdings, and the Fed on the sidelines with QT, the US government needs...
1 month ago
2 MIN READ