OVERVIEW

Today Is ‘Give A Crypto Bear A Hug’ Day 🧸 

Before we dive in, here’s today’s crypto market heatmap:

Source: Santiment

And here’s a look at crypto’s total market and altcoin market cap charts:

Source: TradingView

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Last Week’s Crypto Fireworks Weren’t Duds, Just A Long Fuse 🎆

Let’s take a look at some charts and see what we’ve looked at already, and some new ones, as well.

XRP

We looked at XRP’s weekly chart last Thursday (July 3, 2025).

July 3, 2025 XRPUSD Weekly Chart – Click to enlarge.

XRP has clocked a +24% burst since last Friday, tagging $2.97 intraday and finally blasting above both the Tenkan-Sen and Kijun-Sen.

The breakout shopping list we were looking at was:

Last Week’s Breakout Shopping List

• Weekly candle ≥ $2.52 – clears both Tenkan and Kijun in one shot.

• Composite Index > slow MA – confirms momentum isn’t a mirage.

• DPO > 0 – the loudest starter pistol on the chart.

XRPUSD Weekly Chart – Click to enlarge.

Momentum boxes you laid out last week? All checked. Composite Index sailed over the slow MA, DPO flipped positive, and price is still lounging well above the Cloud, which keeps the long-range bias bullish.

Bitcoin

July 7, 2025 BTCUSD Daily Chart – Click to enlarge.

Bitcoin ignored my “twitchy” side-eye concerns and banged out a fresh ATH.

BTCUSD Daily Chart – Click to enlarge.

The Chikou Span cleared last week’s bodies, Tenkan-Sen and Kijun-Sen now sit underneath like launch pads, and both the Composite Index and DPO bounced off danger zones to reclaim bullish terrain.

Ethereum

July 7, 2024 BTCUSD Daily Chart – Click to enlarge.

Ethereum finally crawled out of the Cloud, slapped $3k, and checked every box on the Ideal Bullish Ichimoku Breakout list from Monday.

ETHUSD Daily Chart – Click to enlarge.

Price is above the Tenkan-Sen, Kijun-Sen, and the Cloud; Chikou Span’s hanging in blue sky, so nothing to smash into for the next dozen candles.

Sui

SUIUSD Daily Chart – Click to enlarge.

Sui, and the following daily charts, all show something in common: the Cloud is acting as near-term resistance.

Band Protocol

BANDUSD Daily Chart – Click to enlarge.

Solana

SOLUSD Daily Chart – Click to enlarge.

In a nutshell: a good chunk of the crpyto market is still trying to breakout. Let’s see kind of weekend shenanigans occur.🧠 

STOCKTWITS RETAIL RADAR
Retail Bets Against Small-Caps After Big Run ($IWM) 🛑 

After a record-breaking three-month run in U.S. equities, Stocktwits Sentiment suggests one index in particular might be due for a pullback. Let’s take a look at the Russell 2000 small-cap index.

First, Stocktwits Sentiment for the small-cap ETF $IWM has been steadily rising alongside prices since April. However, in mid-June, sentiment peaked, and during the rally last week, it signaled a divergence after failing to reach new highs. Now, sentiment has pushed firmly into ‘Bearish’ territory, suggesting retail is expecting a pullback after this record run. ⚠️ 

Source: Stocktwits

When combining this with the technicals, we see prices of Russell 2000 futures reaching a key area of support/resistance near 2,300. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also signaling a divergence, and today’s price action erased this week’s gains. 🧐 

Source: TradingView

With prices rallying a record 34% in three months, approaching a clear resistance area, and seeing momentum and Stocktwits sentiment diverging… retail investors are becoming more cautious at current levels. With earnings season kicking off next week, bulls are booking some gains and seeing how this index reacts in the days ahead.

Add $IWM to your watchlist to monitor this potential reversal. More importantly, to source these sentiment insights yourself, subscribe to Stocktwits Edge to unlock all the historical sentiment data for equities and crypto. 🔓️ 

*This real-time Stocktwits Sentiment use-case example was curated by Stocktwits’ Editor-in-Chief, Tom Bruni, and is solely for informational and educational purposes. Tom does not hold any positions in the Russell 2000 as of the time of publishing. For any questions or comments, please email tbruni[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

NEWS
Crypto Week Is Next Week 📆

Crypto Week. That’s what House leadership is calling July 14-18. The name sticks because they’re dragging three digital-asset bills onto the floor and the stakes make Sen. Warren and every other crypto hater sweat. 🧐

What’s On The Docket

• GENIUS Act – stablecoin free-for-all
  Lets private outfits issue dollar-backed tokens if they keep 1-to-1 cash in the kitty. Walmart and Amazon already eyeballing swipe-fee savings, Visa and Mastercard probably screaming into pillows.

• CLARITY Act – referee assignment
  Decides who polices what: SEC, CFTC, token launches, decentralization tests, the whole alphabet soup. Coinbase bankrolls a six-figure ad blitz begging Congress to just pick a lane.

• Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act – stop the digital panopticon
  Bars the Fed from rolling out a government wallet that tracks every latte. Privacy hawks love it. Bureaucrats hate it.

Numbers That Matter

• Senate blessed GENIUS last month 68-30.

• House passage hands it to President Trump, who owns a slice of USD1 stablecoins via World Liberty Financial and brags it will make America the “UNDISPUTED Leader.”

• 50 million Americans hold crypto. Stand With Crypto’s grassroots army fired off 70k emails to Senators in the last vote.

• Bitcoin ripped from $110k this week – nothing lights a fire under lawmakers like a parabolic chart.

Why The Rush

Mid-summer recess looms. Miss the window and these bills go back into the blender once election season kicks in. Lobby groups know it. Coinbase, Ripple, and 65-plus advocacy orgs sent a joint letter: pass CLARITY or keep drowning in court cases.

Winners & whiners

• Retail giants – issue branded bucks, dodge card fees, loop shoppers inside walled gardens.

• Bank lobby – panicking that “checking accounts” start living on chain.

• Regulators – risk losing or shifting turf.

• Privacy crowd – cheering the Anti-CBDC bill like it’s the fourth of July.

• Maxis – shrugging because Bitcoin doesn’t need a permission slip anyway.

The Vibe On The Hill

Bipartisan momentum looks real, at least until campaign mud-slinging nukes the mood. Republican leadership wants a win before recess. Democrats see voter math: millions of crypto holders in swing states. Everyone wants to look “innovation-friendly” without getting roasted for another FTX-level face-plant.

Next week decides whether Congress finally writes some ground rules or punts yet again. If GENIUS and CLARITY clear the House, Trump’s pen makes stablecoins legit and hands the crypto market its most bullish policy backdrop ever. 🍕

STOCKTWITS POLL
Do You Stake Your Crypto Or Let It Gather Dust? 🤔

Let us know if you stake! Or if you don’t.

NEWS IN THREE SENTENCES
AI, Stablecoins, & Privacy News 🕵️

📚 Story Turns IP Into Lego Bricks for AI and Real-World Data Junkies

If Dropbox had smart contracts and a conscience, it might look like this. Post-mainnet, Story targets the $70 trillion IP swamp by tokenizing everything from Bieber hooks to robot training footage. Built-in royalties and permissions travel with each data fragment so contributors stop suing and start cashing. Story Protocol.

🕵️ COTI Declares Privacy 2.0, Calls Public Chains a Data Buffet for Hackers

The manifesto claims enterprises ghosted crypto because blockchains leak everything, and COTI’s garbled circuits will fix the mess. On-chain logic runs privately, regulators stay calm, builders finally ship. Bold pitch, now they need the apps to match the rhetoric. COTI.

NEWS IN THREE SENTENCES
Real World Asset Tokenization (RWA) News 🪙

🏦 Tokenized RWAs Drag TradFi Into Crypto Whether It Likes It or Not

Fractional Apple shares now trade 24/5 alongside dog memes. Wall Street just discovered liquidity that never sleeps-good luck closing bell. Robinhood launched 200 stock tokens on Arbitrum, JPM and Goldman keep testing blockchain bonds, and forecasts peg the sector at $30 trillion by 2030. 1inch.

💵 Alchemy Pay Bags South Carolina License-Ten States Down, Forty to Annoy

The gateway can now sling crypto-fiat ramps legally from Myrtle Beach to Columbia while prepping a tokenized-stocks platform. Recent U.S. clarity plus GENIUS Act tailwinds make compliance the new flex. Other payment upstarts still filing paperwork just got a fresh migraine. Alchemy Pay.

NEWS IN THREE SENTENCES
Metaverse, NFT, & Gaming News 🎮️

🗄️ Akave Drops Decentralized Data Layer on Avalanche, Central Storage Looks Awkward

That draft AWS is feeling is sovereign storage stealing its lunch. Akave Cloud plugs smart-contract logic straight into S3-style buckets and logs every read, write, and permission on-chain. Early users like Intuizi ditch SaaS silos for tamper-proof audit trails while Snowflake keeps its shiny dashboards. Avalanche.

🎮 Ronin Profiles Debut, Turning Gamer Wallets into On-Chain Résumés

Every Ronin user now gets a profile aggregating balances, activity, and bounty quests across up to six addresses. Future drops and guild perks will hinge on this reputation layer, not on loud tweets. Farm now, flex later – the chain is watching. Ronin.

💬 Rep Social Glues Comment Sections to Any Webpage – No Algorithm Babysitter Required

X debates just found their eviction notice. Galachain’s social layer lets verified humans slap dialogue boxes over articles, videos, or even your dentist’s homepage. No ads, no ranking voodoo, just chronological chaos moderated by actual people. Gala Games.

🩺 Blockchain Federated Learning Wins IEEE Award, Hospitals Stop Hoarding Data (Sort Of)

FLock’s framework trains glucose prediction models across three continents without shipping a single patient record off-site. Blockchain logs updates, slashes cheaters, and dishes rewards for honest gradients. Maybe privacy laws and AI can coexist after all-who knew. Flock.io.

NEWS IN THREE SENTENCES
DeFi, DEX, & Lending Protocol News 🏦

📈 Ankr Feeds Nansen’s Smart-Money Radar in 56 Milliseconds Flat

With 80-chain RPC coverage and 99.99% uptime, Ankr keeps Nansen dashboards snappy for hedge funds stalking whale wallets. Billions of on-chain events route through bare-metal nodes so traders spot moves before Twitter does. Infrastructure isn’t sexy until it saves you a seven-figure misclick. Ankr.

🔀 THORChain Cuts Fees, Adds XRP, and Promises Two-Second Blocks-Again

If they stick the landing this cycle, cross-chain maximalists might finally get a breather. Q2 saw $10 billion in volume, rollout of TCY, and swap fees shaved to 0.10% to court trigger-happy traders. Next up: EdDSA for Solana, direct IBC deposits, and block times faster than your toaster. THORChain.

LINKS
Links That Don’t Suck 🔗

🫢 Binance helped create World Liberty Financial stablecoin – Report

💔 US plans to break China’s grip on rare earths

🤯 Treasury posts unexpected surplus in June as tariff receipts surge

🤖 Animal-inspired AI robot learns to navigate unfamiliar terrain

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Author Disclosure: The author of this newsletter holds positions in ADA, IMX, COPI, MIN, AGIX, ALGO, ZEC, XLM, and NEAR. 📋