Fed Minutes are out and there are a bunch of hawkish headlines which really shouldn’t be that surprising given I have continued to suggest that Powell doesn’t speak for the entirety of the committee when he gets up there.  Given that I think...

Personal Update: 3-Circle Investments is Going Behind The Paywall The Alethea Narrative I have decided that it is time to take my skills analyzing financial markets to the next level. I have been actively providing commentary on investing now via this...

As many of you know, I trade my own capital for a living after a 20 year career managing money on Wall Street for some very large, well-known hedge funds. I am tired of managing money for others and dealing with risk managers and investors. I’d...

In this short clip from Macro EDGE Roundup recorded on 06/18/2024 (available to EDGE members), Samantha LaDuc and Craig Shapiro discuss the potential causes and implications of a yield on the 10-year treasury bond falling and remaining below 4.2%. ...

Here is my current take on the recent moves in the Yen The angle I am wrestling with is why would Japan actually be so concerned about Yen weakness now given this is their only real policy option in a Triffin’s Dilemma World where they need to...

As we head into part 2 of the Treasury Quarterly Refunding Announcement tomorrow, I thought it may be interesting to look at the level of volatility that existed in the UST market heading into the event over the last 2 years.  Below is a table of what...

View the 1 images of this gallery on the original article Source: https://www.newyorkfed.org/microeconomics/sce/housing%20.html#/housing_prices_31 At a Glance: Findings from the 2024 SCE Housing Survey (Fielded in February) Households expect home price...

View the 1 images of this gallery on the original article Source: Bloomberg Plenty of ink is spilled by fundamental analysts telling you why security prices are moving one way vs another. Sometimes it just seems like algos gone wild, going after...

In this episode of Macro-To-Micro Power Hour from 05/01/24, Samantha LaDuc and Craig Shapiro discuss the dynamic financial market landscape, particularly focusing on recent and upcoming economic events such as the QRA quarterly refunding announcement...

Fed speak starts up again today as we will get an update from members of the committee on their thoughts about current monetary policy amidst the recent data for April post their meeting earlier this week. We will learn where Powell stands vs. the rest of...