Things Changed This Week This market has been getting messier for a while. We’ve talked about maintaining a defensive posture, and for a while we were still able to hide in those defensive names. The boring was beautiful and it was just the sexy that...

It All Spends The Same The market isn’t broken. It’s just not sexy. As a whole, we are getting more defensive. That’s true. But here’s the important part. There are places to allocate while the fun stuff is stuck in no man’s land. The boring areas...

Leadership vs. Breadth The cleanest way to frame this market is breadth versus leadership. The “Balance” of This Market Yin is breadth. The supportive part of the market that’s quietly doing its job. Yang is leadership. The visible heavyweights, the...

A Needy Bull Market We are still in a bull market. The S&P 500 is in an uptrend. The majority of stocks remain above their 200 day moving averages. Still a Bull Market…But A Needy One…. But the character of this bull is changing….it’s getting...

It’s a simple Market Right Now Believe it or not, this is a simple market. It only feels complicated because people are trying to make it complicated. Think about it, if you can make it complicated (a problem) many will have more success pretend to have...

20 Charts in 20 Minutes Yesterday I went live with All Gas No Brakes, the show where I rip through 20 plus charts in about 20 minutes pulled from my Thursday night review of hundreds of charts. It’s consistently the most well received show I do. It forces...

What People Mean by “The Stock Market” When most investors think about the stock market, they’re focused on direction. Is the index up or down?Is it near highs or pulling back?What’s the headline narrative today? That lens is almost entirely index-driven...

Wishful Thinking Is Just That……Wishful “You do not rise to the level of your goals. You fall to the level of your systems.”– James Clear This quote is the whole point. Bottom fishing can work, but only when it’s treated like a system. A repeatable...

The Backdrop is Opportunistic When the market is in a sustained uptrend, my default posture is simple. Be opportunistic. Assume more can go right than wrong, and let price tell you where to place your next bet. Market Overview Chart That’s what my...

Everything I Got Wrong In 2025 Happy 2026. Doing a year-end reflection is tough. It forces you to look at the stuff you’d rather gloss over, the trades that didn’t work, the decisions that were “fine” but not great, the moments where you let process slip....