Situational Awareness hedging and margin, agentic retail investing, Bitcoin cold wallets and Anthropic hacks. 

July 2026 The S&P 500 returned -0.06% last month. (on.spdji.com) How major asset classes performed in July 2026. (capitalspectator.com) Rates Treasury rates aren’t heading meaningfully lower absent a recession. (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com)...

Today’s theme is borrowed from evergreen daytime television. ‘As the World Turns’. Adapted today to ‘As the World of AI Turns’. The original ‘soap opera’ ran on CBS for fifty four years. And the reason I am borrowing it today, is that it weaves through...

Podcasts Christine Benz and Amy Arnott talk with Ryan Frederick, about the intersection of place and healthy longevity. (morningstar.com) Frazer Rice talks with Marguerite Lorenz about the job of a trustee. (youtube.com) Ben Carlson talks with Bob Pozen...

Today’s discussion is around what I’ve long described as ‘Forever Problems’ in this AI Tech Wave, ‘AI Hallucinations’ and ‘Prompt Injections’. Two technical problems with probabilistic AI models that are very different vs the traditional computing...

The Weekend RipHappy Weekend! Megacap tech carried stocks higher this week, but the calm at the index level masked a brutal rotation underneath. Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet added roughly $1.5T as strong cloud growth validated massive AI spending,...

Markets Bank stocks are rallying. (trendlabs.com) How Japan’s stock market has changed over time. (apollo.com) In this market, big stocks are making really big moves. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Strategy On the limits of financial modeling. (tker.co)...

Here’s a preview of what we’ll cover this week:  Macro: Fed Backs The US Economy; Inflation Is Still the Problem Markets: Markets Finish Higher as Leadership Flips; How Is The Earnings Season?; Microsoft: Please Don’t Associate Me With OpenAI; OpenAI:...

Happy Sunday… I am excited to share the new Stocktwits MCP with the world. Get is here. The MCP allows you to turn Stocktwits inside/out and ask/prompt anything about who, what, when, where and why on Stocktwits. For those that want MORE IDEAS with...

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